Future of Fire Simulation.
Future of Fire Simulation.
(10522 K)
McGrattan, K. B.; Baum, H. R.; Rehm, R. G.; Forney, G.
P.; Prasad, K. R.
Fire Protection Engineering, No. 13,
24-26,29,32-33,35-36, Winter 2002.
Keywords:
fire simulation; smoke; fire models; pallet storage;
brush fires; computational fluid dynamics; fire spread
Abstract:
Scientists and engineers are often asked to make
predictions of the state of technology in the future and
are usually laughably wrong. The best prognosticators
get the trends right, but cannot possibly fill in the
details. Think of Jules Verne predicting a trip to the
moon, albeit in a projectile decked out in lavish red
velvet, manned by champagne-sipping adventurers, and
shot out of a giant cannon. Unlike Jules Verne, we dare
only look 10 years into the future, rather than 100.
Also, we focus on the work going on in the Building and
Fire Research Lab at NIST because, even though most
agree that modeling will play an increasing role in fire
research, the nature of the models is a subject of
intense debate. We do not presume to speak for the
entire community, and we welcome the opinions of other
researchers as to the direction of modeling in the
future.